terça-feira, 23 de novembro de 2010

(BN) N. Korea Attack on South Kills Two, Sets Homes Ablaze (Update2)

N. Korea Attack on South Kills Two, Sets Homes Ablaze (Update2)
2010-11-23 12:31:47.829 GMT


    (Updates with North Korea's confirmation of shelling in
third paragraph.)

By Bomi Lim
    Nov. 23 (Bloomberg) -- North Korea lobbed artillery shells
at a South Korean island near their border, killing two soldiers
and setting houses ablaze in the worst attack on its neighbor in
at least eight months.
    South Korea returned fire with 80 shells and scrambled
fighter jets as President Lee Myung Bak vowed to respond
"sternly." Local television channel YTN showed smoke billowing
from Yeonpyeong island off South Korea's northwest coast and
said residents took cover in bomb shelters. Stocks and U.S.
futures dropped while the dollar and Swiss franc strengthened.
    Tensions with Kim Jong Il's regime have risen in the past
year after the sinking of the South Korean warship Cheonan in
March killed 46 sailors. U.S. President Barack Obama this week
dispatched envoy Stephen Bosworth to Asia after reports by a U.S.
scientist that North Korea had revealed a "stunning" uranium-
enrichment plant.
    "They want to direct attention to themselves, to say:
'Look we are here, we are dangerous and we cannot just be
ignored," said Andrei Lankov, an associate professor at Kookmin
University in Seoul. The U.S. position had been to engage in
talks when there was a prospect of democratization in the North,
he said. "Now the chances for democratization are virtually
zero, so they have nothing to talk about."

                         Stocks Fall

    The MSCI Asia-Pacific excluding Japan Index declined 2.3
percent to 453.89 as of 8:06 p.m. in Hong Kong, set for its
biggest loss since June 29, while the Stoxx Europe 600 Index
fell 0.6 percent. Standard & Poor's 500 Index futures sank 0.8
percent. The dollar rose against all of its major counterparts
except the Swiss franc.
    Obama was woken at 3:55 a.m. for a security briefing on the
attack, an administration official who requested anonymity said.
    The U.S. condemned the North's shelling and said it was
"firmly committed" to defending South Korea, according to a
statement released by the White House.
    China expressed "concern" over the North Korean shelling.
    "We hope the parties do more to contribute to peace and
stability on the Korean Peninsula," Foreign Ministry Spokesman
Hong Lei told reporters in Beijing today. Reports on North
Korea's new uranium-enrichment plant underscore the need for
disarmament talks, Hong said.
    "What is important is to restart six-party nuclear talks
at an early date," he said.
    Sixteen more South Korean soldiers and three civilians were
injured in the shelling, a defense ministry official said on
condition of anonymity because of military policy. Joint Chiefs
of Staff official Lee Hong Kee called the shelling, which began
around 2:30 p.m. local time, an "intentional attack."

                        Military Drill

    Shin Seung Won, 70, who has been running a motel on
Yeonpyeong for about 20 years, said by telephone: "I heard a
sudden, roaring sound. I ran to the window and saw my neighbor's
house was burning and the neighborhood was covered in smoke."
    North Korea accused South Korea of opening fire first and
warned of more "merciless military attacks" if its territory
is violated. The North Korean army's Supreme Command made the
statement in the official Korean Central News Agency.
    South Korea yesterday kicked off a nine-day military
exercise, which North Korea said today was aimed at attacking
the country. The KCNA statement didn't mention if North Korea
suffered any casualties.

                          Tinder Box

    "The North Korean issue is a tinder-box for the region,"
said Gavin Parry, managing director of Hong Kong-based Parry
International Trading Ltd. "They like to saber rattle for
attention, but on the heels of a nuclear inspection that
indicated they could have bomb capabilities, markets can't
afford to ignore any instability for the region."
    By attacking Yeonpyeong, 2 miles (3.2 kilometers) from the
border, North Korea has escalated its provocations against the
South and its U.S. ally, according to Kenneth Quinones, former
State Department director of North Korean affairs, and a
professor at Akita International University in Japan.
    "This is one of the most serious North Korean provocations
in at least two decades," he said. The latest attack "was on a
civilian-occupied island, unlike the Cheonan, which was a naval
warship."
    North Korea may be trying to force a change in U.S. policy
that has shunned talks with Kim's regime until it ends
provocations and lives up to commitments on ending its nuclear
weapons program, Lankov said. The attack may also signal
domestic instability as the ailing Kim seeks to cement the
handover of power to his youngest son, Kim Jong Un.

                         'Gut Feeling'

    "My gut feeling is that Kim Jong Il is having a very hard
time controlling his generals," Quinones said. "The North
Korean military is asserting itself at a time when Kim is weak
both physically and militarily. Kim Jong Un means nothing; he's
a puppet."
    Kim Jong Un made his public debut in September, when he was
named a general and vice commissioner of the Central Military
Commission, the nation's most powerful body. Those were his
first public appointments and were followed by a succession of
appearances alongside his father.
    Korea is laboring under United Nations sanctions over its
two previous nuclear tests. Attempts to force Kim's regime back
to disarmament talks have foundered after North Korea quit the
six-party forum last year. The talks include the U.S., Russia,
Japan, South Korea and China, the North's main political ally
and source of aid.

                      History of Attacks

    North Korea has a history of attacks on the South since the
two sides fought to a standstill in their 1950-1953 civil war.
China backed the North and the United States led an
international force fighting on the side of the South, laying
out a Cold War relationship that endures to this day.
    The U.S. has about 25,000 troops in the South and Obama
said during a Nov. 10 Veterans Day speech in Seoul that
America's resolve to stand alongside its ally will never waver.
    Previous incidents have included the 1987 bombing of a
civilian airliner that killed 115 people, two assassination
attempts on the president and incursions by mini-submarines
carrying commandoes.
    At an emergency meeting of security-related ministers,
South Korean President Lee ordered the military to "respond
sternly, while making sure the situation doesn't get
aggravated," his office said.
    South Korea's Unification Ministry cancelled inter-Korean
Red Cross talks scheduled to take place on Nov. 25.
    "What can South Korea do apart from a bit of chest
beating?" Lankov said. "They are not going to start a war. I
think they will try to play it down."

For Related News and Information:
Stories on North Korea's nuclear program: TNI NKOREA NUK <GO>
Most-read news on Korea: MNI KOREA 1W <GO>
Top government stories: TOP GOV <GO>

--With assistance from Sookyung Seo, Seonjin Cha, Jungming Hong,
Eunkyung Seo, Frances Yoo and Brett Miller in Seoul, Mike
Forsythe in Beijing, Darren Boey in Hong Kong, John Brinsley in
Tokyo and Daniel Ten Kate in Bangkok. Editors: Ben Richardson,
Douglas Wong.

To contact the reporter on this story:
Bomi Lim in Seoul at +82-2-3702-1673 or
blim30@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story:
Bill Austin at +81-3-3201-8952 or
billaustin@bloomberg.net

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